J1 League (Japan), round 10 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Mito Hollyhock — Urawa Red Diamonds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Urawa Red Diamonds are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Urawa Red Diamonds are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mito Hollyhock — Urawa Red Diamonds What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Mito Hollyhock not to lose | 58% | |
| Urawa Red Diamonds not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock goals
- Urawa Red Diamonds goals
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Form
- 11.10Shimizu S-Pulse1:2
- 19.09away · Yokohama F.Marinos0:2
- 12.09Kawasaki Frontale0:1
- 05.09away · Avispa Fukuoka1:1
- 02.09Kashima Antlers4:2
- 10.10away · FC Tokyo0:3
- 19.09Tokyo Verdy3:1
- 13.09Fagiano Okayama FC1:2
- 06.09away · Kashima Antlers1:0
- 02.09away · Avispa Fukuoka3:2
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Mito Hollyhock — Urawa Red Diamonds1:4
- 07.03.2026Urawa Red Diamonds — Mito Hollyhock2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 9 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
J1 League on the same day
- 3729341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 2927442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 7218101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 2228502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
- 4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5026231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →