Nigeria NPFL, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Katsina United — Plateau United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Katsina United are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Katsina United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Katsina United — Plateau United What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| Katsina United not to lose | 80% | |
| Plateau United not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Katsina United
- Katsina United goals
- Plateau United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Enyimba4:2
- 04.10away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 30.09Rivers United FC1:1
- 27.09Doma United2:1
- 23.09away · Shooting Stars0:2
- 11.10Kano Pillars4:0
- 04.10away · Enyimba0:2
- 27.09Inter Lagos2:0
- 23.09away · Doma United2:2
- 20.09Shooting Stars3:1
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Katsina United — Plateau United0:0
- 31.08.2025Plateau United — Katsina United1:2
- 30.01.2025Katsina United — Plateau United1:0
- 08.09.2024Plateau United — Katsina United1:0
- 17.03.2024Katsina United — Plateau United2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rivers United FC | 8 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Barau | 8 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoespreliminary5926151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- BarauKwara Unitedpreliminary6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Bendel InsuranceRivers United FCpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Ikorodu CityShooting Starspreliminary7119101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Kun KhalifatInter Lagospreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbapreliminary6223141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Ranchers BeesDoma Unitedpreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Warri Wolves FCKano Pillarspreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →