Turkish Super Lig, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Kocaelispor — Rizespor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Kocaelispor 35%, Rizespor 34%, draw 31%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Kocaelispor — No. 7, 12 pts; Rizespor — No. 10, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Kocaelispor 0 wins, Rizespor 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kocaelispor — Rizespor What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Kocaelispor not to lose | 66% | |
| Rizespor not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kocaelispor
- Kocaelispor goals
- Rizespor goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Beşiktaş1:2
- 19.09Gaziantep FK2:0
- 13.09away · Galatasaray0:1
- 06.09Samsunspor1:0
- 29.08away · Konyaspor2:1
- 10.10Fenerbahçe0:3
- 20.09away · Göztepe2:2
- 12.09away · Eyüpspor2:0
- 07.09Alanyaspor0:1
- 29.08away · Gaziantep FK2:1
Head to head
- 20.02.2026Rizespor — Kocaelispor2:0
- 21.09.2025Kocaelispor — Rizespor1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
Super Lig on the same day
- Erzurumspor FKÇorum FKpreliminary3030402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- FenerbahçeGöztepepreliminary7218101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →