Norwegian Eliteserien, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Kristiansund — KFUM
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Kristiansund 35%, KFUM 35%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings KFUM are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kristiansund — KFUM What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Kristiansund not to lose | 65% | |
| KFUM not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kristiansund
- Kristiansund goals
- KFUM goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Bodø/Glimt1:3
- 19.09Rosenborg1:3
- 13.09away · Viking1:8
- 06.09Tromsø2:0
- 30.08away · Hamarkameratene2:2
- 12.10Vålerenga2:1
- 18.09away · Sarpsborg 083:1
- 13.09Aalesund2:1
- 06.09away · Molde0:2
- 30.08away · Start1:4
Head to head
- 02.08.2026KFUM — Kristiansund2:1
- 19.10.2025KFUM — Kristiansund1:1
- 26.07.2025Kristiansund — KFUM0:5
- 23.11.2024KFUM — Kristiansund1:2
- 07.04.2024Kristiansund — KFUM1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | KFUM | 22 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamarkameratene | 22 | 7 | -13 | 26 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | -15 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | -21 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 22 | 4 | -24 | 16 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- VikingTromsøpreliminary6023171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- LillestrømBrannpreliminary3528372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- Sarpsborg 08Aalesundpreliminary6121181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.9
- StartSandefjordpreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- MoldeFredrikstadpreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →