Norwegian Eliteserien, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Lillestrøm — Brann
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Lillestrøm 35%, Brann 37%, draw 28%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brann are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lillestrøm — Brann What is xG? | 1.6–1.6 | |
| Lillestrøm not to lose | 63% | |
| Brann not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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- Handicap Lillestrøm
- Lillestrøm goals
- Brann goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 09.10Viking0:2
- 20.09Bodø/Glimt2:1
- 13.09away · Start0:2
- 05.09Lillestrøm1:2
- 30.08away · Sandefjord0:0
Head to head
- 05.09.2026Brann — Lillestrøm1:2
- 09.11.2024Brann — Lillestrøm2:1
- 12.05.2024Lillestrøm — Brann0:2
- 01.10.2023Lillestrøm — Brann0:2
- 11.06.2023Brann — Lillestrøm2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- VikingTromsøpreliminary6023171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- KristiansundKFUMpreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- Sarpsborg 08Aalesundpreliminary6121181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.9
- StartSandefjordpreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- MoldeFredrikstadpreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →