Norwegian Eliteserien, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Viking — Tromsø
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Viking are clear favourites: 60% against 17% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Viking are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Viking — Tromsø What is xG? | 2.1–1.1 | |
| Viking not to lose | 83% | |
| Tromsø not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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- Tromsø goals
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Form
- 13.10Bayern München3:3
- 09.10away · Brann2:0
- 20.09Lillestrøm3:0
- 13.09Kristiansund8:1
- 09.09away · VfB Stuttgart1:3
- 11.10away · Fredrikstad1:1
- 20.09Hamarkameratene3:2
- 12.09away · Rosenborg3:5
- 06.09away · Kristiansund0:2
- 30.08Sarpsborg 080:0
Head to head
- 19.10.2025Tromsø — Viking1:3
- 27.04.2025Viking — Tromsø4:4
- 01.09.2024Tromsø — Viking2:2
- 05.05.2024Viking — Tromsø2:1
- 22.10.2023Viking — Tromsø3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Bodø/Glimt | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Viking | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Tromsø | 22 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- LillestrømBrannpreliminary3528372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- KristiansundKFUMpreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- Sarpsborg 08Aalesundpreliminary6121181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.9
- StartSandefjordpreliminary4326301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- MoldeFredrikstadpreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →