Ukrainian Premier League, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Kudrivka — Bukovyna Chernivtsi

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Model prediction for 17 October

Kudrivka27%
Draw31%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi42%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Bukovyna Chernivtsi are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Bukovyna Chernivtsi are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Kudrivka — No. 16, 2 pts; Bukovyna Chernivtsi — No. 10, 8 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Kudrivka: 5 defeats in a row; Bukovyna Chernivtsi: winless in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kudrivka — Bukovyna Chernivtsi What is xG?1.0–1.3
Kudrivka not to lose58%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi not to lose73%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes48%
Both teams to score: no52%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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Form

Kudrivka

  • 11.10away · LNZ Cherkasy1:2
  • 03.10away · Veres Rivne1:2
  • 20.09FC Kolos Kovalivka2:3
  • 04.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr1:5
  • 29.08Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0:3

Bukovyna Chernivtsi

  • 11.10Polissya Zhytomyr2:2
  • 19.09away · FC Kharkiv0:2
  • 13.09Zorya1:1
  • 06.09away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0:0
  • 31.08Dynamo Kyiv3:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9FC Kolos Kovalivka72239–11-28
10Bukovyna Chernivtsi81526–8-28
11Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi82247–10-38
15, RelegationObolon Kyiv70432–12-104
16, RelegationKudrivka80266–20-142

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ukrainian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →