Nigeria NPFL, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Kun Khalifat — Inter Lagos

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Model prediction for 25 October

Kun Khalifat76%
Draw16%
Inter Lagos8%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kun Khalifat are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 16%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 34%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Kun Khalifat are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kun Khalifat — Inter Lagos What is xG?2.3–0.5
Kun Khalifat not to lose92%
Inter Lagos not to lose24%
No draw84%
Both teams to score: yes34%
Both teams to score: no66%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Kun Khalifat
  • Kun Khalifat goals
  • Inter Lagos goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kun Khalifat

  • 11.10Shooting Stars2:0
  • 04.10away · Niger Tornadoes0:1
  • 27.09Kwara United1:0
  • 24.09away · Rivers United FC0:5
  • 20.09Enugu Rangers2:4

Inter Lagos

  • 11.10away · Warri Wolves FC1:3
  • 04.10Katsina United1:1
  • 27.09away · Plateau United0:2
  • 23.09Kano Pillars1:1
  • 20.09away · Enyimba1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
17Shooting Stars82247–11-48
18Kun Khalifat82247–14-78
19Enyimba821511–14-37
20Inter Lagos81255–13-85

Season 2026/27

Full table

Nigeria NPFL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →