UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Tammelan stadion
KuPS — Trabzonspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Trabzonspor are clear favourites: 68% against 13% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Trabzonspor are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: KuPS — Trabzonspor What is xG? | 0.9–2.2 | |
| KuPS not to lose | 32% | |
| Trabzonspor not to lose | 87% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Trabzonspor goals
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Form
- 26.02away · Lech Poznań0:1
- 19.02Lech Poznań0:2
- 18.12away · Crystal Palace2:2
- 11.12Lausanne0:0
- 27.11away · Jagiellonia Białystok0:1
- 10.10away · Samsunspor3:0
- 19.09Galatasaray4:0
- 12.09away · Konyaspor0:1
- 06.09Gençlerbirliği5:0
- 31.08away · Amed Sportif1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 5324231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- 4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →