UEFA Champions League, round 2 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Raiffeisen Arena
LASK — Liverpool
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Liverpool are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Liverpool are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- LASK: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LASK — Liverpool What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| LASK not to lose | 53% | |
| Liverpool not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap LASK
- LASK goals
- Liverpool goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Rapid Wien0:2
- 20.09away · Hartberg3:3
- 13.09away · Sturm Graz1:2
- 08.09away · AEK Athens0:1
- 01.09away · Wolfsberger AC3:1
- 11.10Manchester City0:3
- 20.09away · AFC Bournemouth1:0
- 15.09Tottenham Hotspur3:1
- 12.09Fulham0:0
- 09.09Atlético Madrid2:1
Head to head
- 30.11.2023Liverpool — LASK4:0
- 21.09.2023LASK — Liverpool1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 26 | Viking | 2 | 0 | -2 | 1 |
| 27 | LASK | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Inter | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
Champions League on the same day
- 3727372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 1320672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →