Segunda Division, round 11 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Leganés — Mallorca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Leganés 35%, Mallorca 35%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Leganés — Mallorca What is xG? | 1.0–1.0 | |
| Leganés not to lose | 65% | |
| Mallorca not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 33% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Leganés
- Leganés goals
- Mallorca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Almería0:3
- 03.10away · Cádiz0:4
- 28.09Castellón0:2
- 20.09Granada3:2
- 13.09away · Tenerife0:2
- 11.10Las Palmas3:1
- 04.10away · Girona0:0
- 27.09Almería0:1
- 19.09away · Real Sociedad B1:0
- 13.09Sabadell2:0
Head to head
- 19.04.2025Mallorca — Leganés0:0
- 31.08.2024Leganés — Mallorca0:1
- 19.06.2020Mallorca — Leganés1:1
- 26.10.2019Leganés — Mallorca1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Castellón | 9 | 6 | +11 | 20 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | +7 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Leganés | 9 | 3 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- CórdobaEibarpreliminary4126321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- GironaCelta Fortunapreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Las PalmasReal Sociedad Bpreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- AlmeríaReal Oviedopreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →