Segunda Division, round 11 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Girona — Celta Fortuna
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Girona are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Girona are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Girona — Celta Fortuna What is xG? | 1.8–1.2 | |
| Girona not to lose | 76% | |
| Celta Fortuna not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Girona
- Girona goals
- Celta Fortuna goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10Real Sociedad B4:1
- 04.10away · Sporting Gijón2:3
- 26.09Sabadell1:1
- 20.09away · Almería0:2
- 14.09Eibar0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 9 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- CórdobaEibarpreliminary4126321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- LeganésMallorcapreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
- Las PalmasReal Sociedad Bpreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- AlmeríaReal Oviedopreliminary5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →