Segunda Division, round 11 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Las Palmas — Real Sociedad B
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Las Palmas are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Las Palmas are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Las Palmas — No. 15, 11 pts; Real Sociedad B — No. 19, 8 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Las Palmas: winless in 4; Real Sociedad B: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Las Palmas 2 wins, Real Sociedad B 0, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Las Palmas — Real Sociedad B What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Las Palmas not to lose | 74% | |
| Real Sociedad B not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Las Palmas
- Las Palmas goals
- Real Sociedad B goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Mallorca1:3
- 04.10Real Valladolid2:2
- 27.09away · Eibar2:3
- 20.09Burgos CF1:2
- 12.09away · Cádiz1:0
- 10.10away · Celta Fortuna1:4
- 04.10Granada2:3
- 26.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:3
- 19.09Mallorca0:1
- 12.09away · FC Andorra3:1
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Real Sociedad B — Las Palmas1:1
- 12.09.2025Las Palmas — Real Sociedad B2:1
- 30.01.2022Las Palmas — Real Sociedad B0:0
- 29.10.2021Real Sociedad B — Las Palmas0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Leganés | 9 | 3 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 19, Relegation | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 20, Relegation | Cádiz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- CórdobaEibarpreliminary3926341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- LeganésMallorcapreliminary3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
- GironaCelta Fortunapreliminary5725191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- AlmeríaReal Oviedopreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →