Super League Greece, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Levadiakos 32%, Aris Thessaloniki 38%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Levadiakos — No. 14, 1 pt; Aris Thessaloniki — No. 6, 10 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Levadiakos: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Levadiakos 1 win, Aris Thessaloniki 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Levadiakos not to lose | 62% | |
| Aris Thessaloniki not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Levadiakos
- Levadiakos goals
- Aris Thessaloniki goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Iraklis0:2
- 20.09Olympiacos0:1
- 13.09away · Kifisia FC0:0
- 06.09Panetolikos0:2
- 31.08Panathinaikos0:2
- 11.10NFC Volos3:2
- 19.09Iraklis0:0
- 13.09away · PAOK Thessaloniki0:2
- 05.09away · AEK Athens0:5
- 30.08OFI Crete2:1
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Aris Thessaloniki — Levadiakos3:0
- 05.04.2026Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki1:1
- 25.01.2026Aris Thessaloniki — Levadiakos2:2
- 26.10.2025Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki1:1
- 16.02.2025Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | OFI Crete | 6 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki | 6 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | NFC Volos | 6 | 0 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | -11 | 1 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- PanetolikosOFI Cretepreliminary333236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
- PanathinaikosAEK Athenspreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- PAOK ThessalonikiAsteras Tripolispreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →