EFL Championship, round 10 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · ProAmpac Stadium
Lincoln City — West Ham United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Evenly matched: Lincoln City 33%, West Ham United 40%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lincoln City — West Ham United What is xG? | 1.5–1.6 | |
| Lincoln City not to lose | 60% | |
| West Ham United not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lincoln City
- Lincoln City goals
- West Ham United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Sheffield United0:3
- 19.09Swansea City1:2
- 15.09away · Bristol City1:0
- 12.09away · Preston North End1:0
- 08.09away · AFC Bournemouth0:4
- 09.10Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 19.09away · Millwall2:2
- 15.09Fulham2:3
- 11.09Wrexham6:0
- 08.09away · Bolton Wanderers3:2
Head to head
- 27.09.2023Lincoln City — West Ham United0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 10 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
Championship on the same day
- 3127422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →