EFL Championship, round 10 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Fratton Park
Portsmouth — Sheffield United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Portsmouth are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Portsmouth: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Facts
- League table: Portsmouth — No. 20, 8 pts; Sheffield United — No. 15, 12 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: Portsmouth 0 wins, Sheffield United 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Portsmouth — Sheffield United What is xG? | 1.4–1.2 | |
| Portsmouth not to lose | 70% | |
| Sheffield United not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Portsmouth
- Portsmouth goals
- Sheffield United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Southampton0:1
- 19.09Blackburn Rovers2:2
- 12.09away · Charlton Athletic0:0
- 05.09Cardiff City2:0
- 01.09Derby County0:2
- 10.10Lincoln City3:0
- 19.09away · Stoke City1:2
- 16.09away · Fleetwood Town0:1
- 13.09Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
- 08.09away · Blackburn Rovers2:1
Head to head
- 14.02.2026Portsmouth — Sheffield United0:1
- 26.11.2025Sheffield United — Portsmouth3:0
- 08.02.2025Sheffield United — Portsmouth2:1
- 28.09.2024Portsmouth — Sheffield United0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 9 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | -4 | 8 |
Championship on the same day
- 3828351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 2326522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →