EFL Championship, round 10 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · ProAmpac Stadium
Lincoln City — West Ham United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
West Ham United are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Lincoln City — No. 17, 11 pts; West Ham United — No. 6, 16 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lincoln City — West Ham United What is xG? | 1.2–1.7 | |
| Lincoln City not to lose | 48% | |
| West Ham United not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lincoln City
- Lincoln City goals
- West Ham United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Sheffield United0:3
- 19.09Swansea City1:2
- 15.09away · Bristol City1:0
- 12.09away · Preston North End1:0
- 08.09away · AFC Bournemouth0:4
- 09.10Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 19.09away · Millwall2:2
- 15.09Fulham2:3
- 11.09Wrexham6:0
- 08.09away · Bolton Wanderers3:2
Head to head
- 27.09.2023Lincoln City — West Ham United0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 10 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
Championship on the same day
- 3828351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →