EFL Championship, round 10 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · MATRADE Loftus Road
Queens Park Rangers — Derby County
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Queens Park Rangers are clear favourites: 55% against 18% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Queens Park Rangers are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Queens Park Rangers — No. 9, 14 pts; Derby County — No. 23, 6 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Queens Park Rangers: unbeaten in 4; Derby County: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Queens Park Rangers 2 wins, Derby County 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Queens Park Rangers — Derby County What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Queens Park Rangers not to lose | 82% | |
| Derby County not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Queens Park Rangers
- Queens Park Rangers goals
- Derby County goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 09.10away · West Ham United1:1
- 19.09Preston North End2:2
- 12.09away · West Bromwich Albion1:1
- 09.09away · Charlton Athletic0:0
- 05.09Middlesbrough0:1
- 10.10Wrexham1:1
- 19.09away · Burnley1:1
- 12.09Birmingham City1:2
- 09.09West Bromwich Albion0:1
- 05.09away · West Ham United0:3
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Queens Park Rangers — Derby County2:3
- 25.10.2025Derby County — Queens Park Rangers1:0
- 14.02.2025Queens Park Rangers — Derby County4:0
- 05.10.2024Derby County — Queens Park Rangers2:0
- 18.04.2022Queens Park Rangers — Derby County1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 22, Relegation | Watford | 10 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
| 23, Relegation | Derby County | 9 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 24, Relegation | Preston North End | 10 | 1 | -12 | 4 |
Championship on the same day
- 3828351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 2326522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →