Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Londrina — América-MG
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Londrina are clear favourites: 65% against 13% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Londrina are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Londrina — No. 18, 29 pts; América-MG — No. 19, 17 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Londrina: winless in 5; América-MG: 5 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Londrina — América-MG What is xG? | 1.9–0.9 | |
| Londrina not to lose | 87% | |
| América-MG not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
181 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Londrina
- Londrina goals
- América-MG goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 14.10away · Athletic Club MG2:2
- 08.10away · Avaí1:2
- 03.10Criciúma0:2
- 26.09away · Vila Nova0:2
- 21.09Fortaleza1:2
- 13.10away · Criciúma0:1
- 08.10Fortaleza0:1
- 03.10away · Atlético-GO0:2
- 29.09Juventude0:1
- 19.09away · Vila Nova0:1
Head to head
- 14.07.2026América-MG — Londrina1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17, Relegation | Avaí | 33 | 10 | -10 | 36 |
| 18, Relegation | Londrina | 33 | 7 | -7 | 29 |
| 19, Relegation | América-MG | 33 | 4 | -33 | 17 |
| 20, Relegation | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | -55 | 13 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- Vila NovaJuventudepreliminary4231271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- NáuticoAvaípreliminary4229301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →