UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Olympia

Mjällby — Inter Club d'Escaldes

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Model prediction for 15 October

Mjällby49%
Draw25%
Inter Club d'Escaldes26%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Mjällby are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Mjällby: winless in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mjällby — Inter Club d'Escaldes What is xG?1.7–1.1
Mjällby not to lose74%
Inter Club d'Escaldes not to lose51%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Mjällby
  • Mjällby goals
  • Inter Club d'Escaldes goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mjällby

  • 10.10Degerfors1:1
  • 20.09GAIS0:3
  • 16.09away · AIK1:1
  • 11.09away · Häcken1:1
  • 07.09IFK Göteborg1:4

Inter Club d'Escaldes

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →