Norwegian Eliteserien, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Molde — Start
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Molde are clear favourites: 70% against 12% for the opponent, draw 18%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Molde are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Molde — No. 4, 37 pts; Start — No. 16, 16 pts. A gap of 21 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Molde — Start What is xG? | 2.5–1.0 | |
| Molde not to lose | 88% | |
| Start not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Lillestrøm2:2
- 19.09Aalesund1:2
- 13.09away · Hamarkameratene5:1
- 06.09KFUM2:0
- 30.08away · Vålerenga4:3
- 11.10Hamarkameratene2:4
- 20.09away · Sandefjord0:3
- 13.09Brann2:0
- 04.09away · Aalesund0:2
- 30.08KFUM4:1
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Start — Molde1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Tromsø | 22 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | -21 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 22 | 4 | -24 | 16 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- 362934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
- 6721121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →