Paraguayan Primera Division · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Nacional (PAR) — Sportivo Trinidense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nacional (PAR) are clear favourites: 48% against 22% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nacional (PAR) are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Nacional (PAR): unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Nacional (PAR) 2 wins, Sportivo Trinidense 0, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nacional (PAR) — Sportivo Trinidense What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Nacional (PAR) not to lose | 78% | |
| Sportivo Trinidense not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nacional (PAR)
- Nacional (PAR) goals
- Sportivo Trinidense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Recoleta1:0
- 07.10away · Olimpia1:1
- 26.09Sportivo Ameliano1:1
- 19.092 de Mayo3:0
- 14.09away · Rubio Ñú1:0
- 10.10away · Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
- 05.10Luqueño3:2
- 27.09Cerro Porteño2:1
- 18.09Guaraní0:1
- 13.09away · Recoleta3:1
Head to head
- 16.08.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 10.05.2026Nacional (PAR) — Sportivo Trinidense2:1
- 10.03.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Nacional (PAR)1:1
- 01.11.2025Nacional (PAR) — Sportivo Trinidense0:0
- 18.08.2025Sportivo Trinidense — Nacional (PAR)0:2
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- Sportivo San LorenzoCerro Porteñopreliminary1224652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.2
- Rubio ÑúGuaranípreliminary2230482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
- Sportivo AmelianoOlimpiapreliminary2630442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →