French Ligue 2, round 8 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Stade Marcel-Picot
Nancy — Guingamp
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Missed
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (29%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 29% fails in about 71 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Nancy 36%, Guingamp 34%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Guingamp are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nancy — Guingamp What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| Nancy not to lose | 66% | |
| Guingamp not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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Form
Head to head
- 19.01.2026Nancy — Guingamp0:3
- 03.10.2025Guingamp — Nancy2:2
- 22.01.2019Nancy — Guingamp1:2
Table
Next matches
- Annecy FCNancy16 October · Ligue 24629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- GuingampPau16 October · Ligue 24826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
Ligue 2 on the same day
- 362935XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:1.2.7
- 5527171The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 5027231The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.7
- 393229XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →