Nigeria NPFL, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Nasarawa United — Doma United
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Nasarawa United to win (66%), came true.
Nasarawa United are clear favourites: 66% against 13% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nasarawa United are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nasarawa United — Doma United What is xG? | 1.8–0.6 | |
| Nasarawa United not to lose | 87% | |
| Doma United not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nasarawa United
- Nasarawa United goals
- Doma United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 27.09Niger Tornadoes1:0
- 23.09away · Kwara United1:2
- 20.09Rivers United FC1:1
- 18.09away · Enugu Rangers1:2
- 04.10Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Katsina United1:2
- 23.09Plateau United2:2
- 20.09away · Kano Pillars1:4
- 12.09Enyimba2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barau | 8 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Doma United | 8 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
Next matches
- Doma UnitedKun Khalifat17 October · Nigeria NPFL5227221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Inter LagosNasarawa United18 October · Nigeria NPFL363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 4231281The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.1.8
- 5029211The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.8
- 5825181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 6323141The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 5227221The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
- 6822101The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →