UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Stadion Z'dežele
NK Celje — Omonia Nicosia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
NK Celje are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings NK Celje are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: NK Celje — Omonia Nicosia What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| NK Celje not to lose | 80% | |
| Omonia Nicosia not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap NK Celje
- NK Celje goals
- Omonia Nicosia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.09away · Bayer Leverkusen0:2
- 19.03away · AEK Athens2:0
- 12.03AEK Athens0:4
- 26.02Drita3:2
- 19.02away · Drita3:2
- 16.09Celta Vigo1:0
- 26.02away · Rijeka1:3
- 19.02Rijeka0:1
- 18.12Raków Częstochowa0:1
- 11.12away · Rapid Wien1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Salzburg | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | NK Celje | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Ararat Armenia | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 2926452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →