Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Novorizontino — Operário-PR
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Novorizontino are clear favourites: 76% against 7% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Novorizontino are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Novorizontino — No. 2, 60 pts; Operário-PR — No. 9, 48 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Novorizontino: 3 wins in a row; Operário-PR: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Novorizontino 1 win, Operário-PR 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Novorizontino — Operário-PR What is xG? | 2.0–0.7 | |
| Novorizontino not to lose | 93% | |
| Operário-PR not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Novorizontino
- Novorizontino goals
- Operário-PR goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 13.10Ponte Preta5:1
- 09.10away · Náutico2:0
- 02.10Goiás3:0
- 26.09São Bernardo0:0
- 19.09away · Ceará1:2
- 12.10Goiás0:2
- 08.10Botafogo SP1:2
- 03.10away · Juventude0:3
- 26.09Ceará2:2
- 23.09away · Criciúma2:0
Head to head
- 12.07.2026Operário-PR — Novorizontino2:1
- 12.10.2025Novorizontino — Operário-PR3:0
- 24.06.2025Operário-PR — Novorizontino2:0
- 09.11.2024Novorizontino — Operário-PR0:1
- 24.07.2024Operário-PR — Novorizontino0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | +15 | 61 |
| 2, Promotion | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | +31 | 60 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Juventude | 33 | 17 | +18 | 60 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 | Operário-PR | 33 | 13 | -1 | 48 |
| 10 | Goiás | 33 | 14 | -6 | 48 |
Brasileirao Serie B on the same day
- CuiabáSão Bernardopreliminary5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- FortalezaAtlético-GOpreliminary5128221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →