Chilean Liga de Primera, round 25 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Ñublense — Coquimbo Unido
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Coquimbo Unido are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Coquimbo Unido are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Ñublense — No. 10, 32 pts; Coquimbo Unido — No. 8, 32 pts.
- Ñublense: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Ñublense 0 wins, Coquimbo Unido 2, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ñublense — Coquimbo Unido What is xG? | 1.2–1.5 | |
| Ñublense not to lose | 55% | |
| Coquimbo Unido not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ñublense
- Ñublense goals
- Coquimbo Unido goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Universidad de Chile0:6
- 12.09Everton CD1:3
- 06.09away · La Serena1:2
- 03.09away · Deportes Limache0:2
- 30.08Deportes Concepción0:1
- 11.10Colo Colo5:2
- 17.09Huachipato0:1
- 12.09away · Cobresal2:3
- 06.09away · Universidad de Chile2:4
- 03.09Universidad de Concepción1:0
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Coquimbo Unido — Ñublense1:1
- 13.09.2025Coquimbo Unido — Ñublense2:1
- 21.04.2025Ñublense — Coquimbo Unido0:0
- 20.07.2024Coquimbo Unido — Ñublense1:0
- 17.02.2024Ñublense — Coquimbo Unido0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 24 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Ñublense | 24 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 11 | La Serena | 24 | 7 | -5 | 30 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- O'HigginsCobresalpreliminary4725281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Unión La CaleraUniversidad Católicapreliminary1924562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- PalestinoColo Colopreliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →