Chilean Liga de Primera, round 26 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
O'Higgins — Ñublense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
O'Higgins are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: O'Higgins — Ñublense What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| O'Higgins not to lose | 73% | |
| Ñublense not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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Form
- 10.10away · Huachipato0:2
- 14.09away · Audax Italiano0:1
- 06.09Unión La Calera2:1
- 01.09away · Universidad Católica2:3
- 24.08Palestino0:1
- 12.10away · Universidad de Chile0:6
- 12.09Everton CD1:3
- 06.09away · La Serena1:2
- 03.09away · Deportes Limache0:2
- 30.08Deportes Concepción0:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Ñublense — O'Higgins0:2
- 09.11.2025O'Higgins — Ñublense4:2
- 25.05.2025Ñublense — O'Higgins0:1
- 19.10.2024O'Higgins — Ñublense1:3
- 19.05.2024Ñublense — O'Higgins2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 24 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Ñublense | 24 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 11 | La Serena | 24 | 7 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 23 | 7 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | -10 | 25 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Colo ColoUniversidad de Concepciónpreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Universidad CatólicaUniversidad de Chilepreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- CobresalEverton CDpreliminary3425402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- Coquimbo UnidoUnión La Calerapreliminary6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Deportes LimacheAudax Italianopreliminary4924271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- HuachipatoLa Serenapreliminary5024261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Deportes ConcepciónPalestinopreliminary372935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →