Super League Greece, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
OFI Crete — PAOK Thessaloniki
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
PAOK Thessaloniki are clear favourites: 50% against 21% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings PAOK Thessaloniki are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: OFI Crete — No. 5, 10 pts; PAOK Thessaloniki — No. 4, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: OFI Crete 1 win, PAOK Thessaloniki 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: OFI Crete — PAOK Thessaloniki What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| OFI Crete not to lose | 50% | |
| PAOK Thessaloniki not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap OFI Crete
- OFI Crete goals
- PAOK Thessaloniki goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · AEK Athens0:3
- 20.09Asteras Tripolis2:2
- 17.09Hoffenheim2:0
- 12.09away · Olympiacos1:0
- 06.09Kifisia FC2:0
- 12.10Kalamata1:3
- 20.09away · Panetolikos3:1
- 13.09Aris Thessaloniki2:0
- 06.09away · Panathinaikos1:3
- 30.08away · Atromitos2:1
Head to head
- 18.01.2026PAOK Thessaloniki — OFI Crete3:0
- 14.09.2025OFI Crete — PAOK Thessaloniki1:2
- 08.02.2025OFI Crete — PAOK Thessaloniki0:5
- 27.10.2024PAOK Thessaloniki — OFI Crete1:2
- 03.01.2024PAOK Thessaloniki — OFI Crete4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Olympiacos | 6 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | PAOK Thessaloniki | 6 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | OFI Crete | 6 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki | 6 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- OlympiacosKalamatapreliminary781571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- NFC VolosPanathinaikospreliminary1122672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- Aris ThessalonikiAtromitospreliminary5527171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →