Belgian Cup, playoff · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

OH Leuven — Francs Borains

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Model prediction for 17 October

OH Leuven67%
Draw20%
Francs Borains13%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

OH Leuven are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings OH Leuven are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: OH Leuven — Francs Borains What is xG?2.2–0.9
OH Leuven not to lose87%
Francs Borains not to lose33%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap OH Leuven
  • OH Leuven goals
  • Francs Borains goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

OH Leuven

  • 11.10away · Union St.Gilloise1:1
  • 19.09RAAL La Louvière2:0
  • 12.09Cercle Brugge1:1
  • 06.09away · SK Beveren0:3
  • 03.09away · Gent0:1

Francs Borains

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Belgian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →