Belgian Cup, playoff · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Zulte Waregem — RFC Seraing

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Model prediction for 17 October

Zulte Waregem67%
Draw20%
RFC Seraing13%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Zulte Waregem are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Zulte Waregem are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zulte Waregem — RFC Seraing What is xG?2.2–0.9
Zulte Waregem not to lose87%
RFC Seraing not to lose33%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Zulte Waregem
  • Zulte Waregem goals
  • RFC Seraing goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Zulte Waregem

  • 10.10Gent0:2
  • 19.09away · Anderlecht0:3
  • 13.09Sporting Charleroi0:1
  • 06.09away · Kortrijk2:0
  • 30.08away · Westerlo2:2

RFC Seraing

  • 30.10OH Leuven1:3
  • 30.10away · OH Leuven0:2
  • 22.04Westerlo1:1
  • 16.04away · Union St.Gilloise1:2
  • 07.04away · Club Brugge0:2

Head to head

  • 18.02.2023RFC Seraing — Zulte Waregem1:1
  • 23.07.2022Zulte Waregem — RFC Seraing2:0
  • 27.02.2022Zulte Waregem — RFC Seraing1:0
  • 03.10.2021RFC Seraing — Zulte Waregem5:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Belgian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →