Belgian Cup, playoff · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Club Brugge — KSC Lokeren

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Model prediction for 17 October

Club Brugge97%
Draw2%
KSC Lokeren0%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Club Brugge are clear favourites: 97% against 0% for the opponent, draw 2%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 90%, both teams to score — 32%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Club Brugge are about 2.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Club Brugge: 4 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Club Brugge — KSC Lokeren What is xG?4.9–0.4
Club Brugge not to lose100%
KSC Lokeren not to lose3%
No draw98%
Both teams to score: yes32%
Both teams to score: no68%
Total over 2.590%
Total under 2.510%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Club Brugge
  • Club Brugge goals
  • KSC Lokeren goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Club Brugge

  • 13.10away · Inter4:3
  • 10.10away · RAAL La Louvière4:1
  • 20.09Genk3:0
  • 13.09Royal Antwerp3:1
  • 08.09Aston Villa2:3

KSC Lokeren

  • 30.10away · Kortrijk0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Belgian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 97% will not happen in roughly 3 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →