Belgian Cup, playoff · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Renaissance Mons — Sporting Charleroi

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Model prediction for 17 October

Renaissance Mons5%
Draw11%
Sporting Charleroi84%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Sporting Charleroi are clear favourites: 84% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Sporting Charleroi are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Renaissance Mons — Sporting Charleroi What is xG?0.6–3.0
Renaissance Mons not to lose16%
Sporting Charleroi not to lose95%
No draw89%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.570%
Total under 2.530%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Renaissance Mons
  • Renaissance Mons goals
  • Sporting Charleroi goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Renaissance Mons

No past matches in the data yet.

Sporting Charleroi

  • 11.10away · Standard Liège1:0
  • 19.09Cercle Brugge3:2
  • 13.09away · Zulte Waregem1:0
  • 05.09Union St.Gilloise2:3
  • 29.08away · Kortrijk3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Belgian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →