Kazakhstan Premier League, round 23 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Okzhetpes Kokshetau — FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk
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In short
Okzhetpes Kokshetau are clear favourites: 51% against 23% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Okzhetpes Kokshetau are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Okzhetpes Kokshetau — No. 5, 45 pts; FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — No. 11, 28 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Okzhetpes Kokshetau 3 wins, FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Okzhetpes Kokshetau — FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau not to lose | 77% | |
| FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau goals
- FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Ulytau0:2
- 18.09Zhenis3:1
- 13.09away · Irtysh Pavlodar1:2
- 05.09Ordabasy Shymkent2:1
- 29.08away · Kaisar Kyzylorda3:2
- 10.10away · Irtysh Pavlodar2:0
- 18.09Kaisar Kyzylorda1:1
- 12.09away · Zhenis1:3
- 05.09Atyrau0:1
- 29.08away · Ordabasy Shymkent0:3
Head to head
- 02.05.2026FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — Okzhetpes Kokshetau0:1
- 13.09.2025FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — Okzhetpes Kokshetau3:1
- 31.05.2025Okzhetpes Kokshetau — FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk3:2
- 01.10.2023FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — Okzhetpes Kokshetau1:2
- 15.03.2023Okzhetpes Kokshetau — FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | +9 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 27 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 | FC Yelimay | 26 | 10 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Kaspiy Aktau | 27 | 9 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk | 27 | 7 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | -9 | 26 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- 363033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 2527472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →