Kazakhstan Premier League, round 29 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Okzhetpes Kokshetau — Kaspiy Aktau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Okzhetpes Kokshetau are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Okzhetpes Kokshetau are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Okzhetpes Kokshetau — No. 5, 45 pts; Kaspiy Aktau — No. 10, 32 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1 win, Kaspiy Aktau 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Okzhetpes Kokshetau — Kaspiy Aktau What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau not to lose | 78% | |
| Kaspiy Aktau not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau goals
- Kaspiy Aktau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Ulytau0:2
- 18.09Zhenis3:1
- 13.09away · Irtysh Pavlodar1:2
- 05.09Ordabasy Shymkent2:1
- 29.08away · Kaisar Kyzylorda3:2
- 11.10FC Altai Oskemen2:1
- 18.09away · Zhetysu Taldykorgan1:0
- 12.09Aktobe1:2
- 05.09Kairat Almaty0:3
- 30.08Tobol Kostanay1:0
Head to head
- 17.03.2026Kaspiy Aktau — Okzhetpes Kokshetau1:3
- 26.08.2023Okzhetpes Kokshetau — Kaspiy Aktau3:3
- 15.04.2023Kaspiy Aktau — Okzhetpes Kokshetau2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | +9 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 27 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 | FC Yelimay | 26 | 10 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspiy Aktau | 27 | 9 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk | 27 | 7 | -9 | 28 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- Zhetysu TaldykorganTobol Kostanaypreliminary2527482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- FC Kyzylzhar PetropavlovskUlytaupreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Ordabasy ShymkentZhenispreliminary771571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →