Swedish Allsvenskan, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Örgryte — GAIS
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
GAIS are clear favourites: 57% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings GAIS are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Örgryte — No. 15, 15 pts; GAIS — No. 10, 30 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- Örgryte: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Örgryte — GAIS What is xG? | 1.1–1.9 | |
| Örgryte not to lose | 43% | |
| GAIS not to lose | 82% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Häcken0:3
- 19.09Sirius1:2
- 13.09away · Malmö FF1:4
- 06.09Hammarby1:1
- 30.08away · IFK Göteborg0:1
- 10.10Sirius0:1
- 20.09away · Mjällby3:0
- 14.09away · Djurgården0:2
- 05.09Häcken0:0
- 31.08Brommapojkarna4:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2026GAIS — Örgryte4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AIK | 23 | 9 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | GAIS | 23 | 8 | +7 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Kalmar FF | 23 | 5 | -16 | 19 |
| 15, Relegation | Örgryte | 23 | 3 | -27 | 15 |
| 16, Relegation | Halmstads BK | 23 | 3 | -28 | 14 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 3729341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3628362The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- 716772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →