La Liga, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Osasuna — Racing Santander
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Osasuna are clear favourites: 51% against 24% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Osasuna are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Osasuna — Racing Santander What is xG? | 1.9–1.3 | |
| Osasuna not to lose | 76% | |
| Racing Santander not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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- Handicap Osasuna
- Osasuna goals
- Racing Santander goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Real Betis2:5
- 19.09Rayo Vallecano1:1
- 16.09away · Atlético Madrid0:4
- 12.09Espanyol0:2
- 06.09away · Deportivo Alavés2:5
- 11.10Valencia2:2
- 19.09away · Celta Vigo0:5
- 16.09away · Barcelona2:7
- 12.09Deportivo Alavés2:1
- 05.09away · Rayo Vallecano2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
La Liga on the same day
- 4828231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 2529462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- 811361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →