Liga MX (Mexico), round 15 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Pachuca — Tigres
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Pachuca 35%, Tigres 34%, draw 31%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pachuca — Tigres What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| Pachuca not to lose | 66% | |
| Tigres not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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Form
- 12.10Necaxa3:3
- 27.09away · Santos Laguna0:1
- 21.09Tijuana2:2
- 12.09away · Atlante3:0
- 05.09away · FC Juárez2:0
Head to head
- 21.02.2026Tigres — Pachuca1:2
- 23.10.2025Pachuca — Tigres1:2
- 16.04.2025Pachuca — Tigres0:0
- 27.10.2024Tigres — Pachuca2:1
- 07.04.2024Tigres — Pachuca0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 11 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | Pumas | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
Liga MX on the same day
- MonterreyTijuanapreliminary5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- ChivasAtlantepreliminary6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- CF AméricaTolucapreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →