Liga MX (Mexico), round 15 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Chivas — Atlante
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Chivas are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chivas are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chivas — Atlante What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| Chivas not to lose | 85% | |
| Atlante not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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- Chivas goals
- Atlante goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Atlas1:1
- 27.09Querétaro FC0:2
- 20.09away · CF América2:2
- 14.09Pumas3:0
- 06.09away · Atlético de San Luis3:0
- 11.10away · Querétaro FC0:2
- 26.09Monterrey4:2
- 19.09away · Puebla1:1
- 12.09Pachuca0:3
- 06.09away · Atlas1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Liguilla (playoffs) | Querétaro FC | 10 | 6 | +7 | 20 |
| 4, Liguilla (playoffs) | Chivas | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 5, Liguilla (playoffs) | León | 11 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
Liga MX on the same day
- PachucaTigrespreliminary353134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
- MonterreyTijuanapreliminary5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- CF AméricaTolucapreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →