Liga MX (Mexico), round 15 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Monterrey — Tijuana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Monterrey are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Monterrey are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Monterrey — Tijuana What is xG? | 1.9–1.3 | |
| Monterrey not to lose | 77% | |
| Tijuana not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Monterrey
- Monterrey goals
- Tijuana goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · CF América1:1
- 26.09away · Atlante2:4
- 20.09Cruz Azul1:0
- 13.09Tigres0:0
- 31.08Atlético de San Luis1:3
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Monterrey — Tijuana2:2
- 06.10.2025Tijuana — Monterrey2:2
- 30.03.2025Monterrey — Tijuana1:2
- 24.08.2024Tijuana — Monterrey2:2
- 29.02.2024Tijuana — Monterrey1:1
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- PachucaTigrespreliminary353134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
- ChivasAtlantepreliminary6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- CF AméricaTolucapreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →