Chilean Liga de Primera, round 25 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Palestino — Colo Colo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Palestino 35%, Colo Colo 39%, draw 26%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Colo Colo are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Palestino — No. 5, 37 pts; Colo Colo — No. 1, 54 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Palestino 1 win, Colo Colo 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Palestino — Colo Colo What is xG? | 1.5–1.6 | |
| Palestino not to lose | 61% | |
| Colo Colo not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Palestino
- Palestino goals
- Colo Colo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Deportes Limache2:2
- 13.09Universidad Católica2:3
- 07.09Universidad de Concepción2:1
- 29.08away · Cobresal0:2
- 24.08away · O'Higgins1:0
- 11.10away · Coquimbo Unido2:5
- 13.09Deportes Concepción1:1
- 06.09away · Huachipato0:0
- 31.08Audax Italiano5:1
- 23.08away · Universidad de Chile2:1
Head to head
- 20.04.2026Colo Colo — Palestino0:1
- 22.08.2025Palestino — Colo Colo0:0
- 28.03.2025Colo Colo — Palestino1:1
- 20.10.2024Palestino — Colo Colo2:3
- 20.05.2024Colo Colo — Palestino2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | +22 | 45 |
| 4 | Everton CD | 24 | 11 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- O'HigginsCobresalpreliminary4725281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- ÑublenseCoquimbo Unidopreliminary2827452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- Unión La CaleraUniversidad Católicapreliminary1924562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →