Brazilian Serie A, round 32 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Palmeiras — RB Bragantino
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Palmeiras are clear favourites: 64% against 13% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Palmeiras are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Palmeiras — No. 2, 63 pts; RB Bragantino — No. 9, 40 pts. A gap of 23 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Palmeiras 4 wins, RB Bragantino 0, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Palmeiras 14, RB Bragantino 12.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Palmeiras — RB Bragantino What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Palmeiras not to lose | 87% | |
| RB Bragantino not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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- Handicap Palmeiras
- Palmeiras goals
- RB Bragantino goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Corinthians4:1
- 09.10Bahia1:0
- 20.09away · Grêmio0:0
- 17.09away · LDU de Quito2:3
- 13.09São Paulo2:0
- 13.10Cruzeiro4:2
- 08.10Mirassol1:1
- 04.10away · Atlético-MG0:1
- 21.09away · Flamengo1:2
- 13.09away · Botafogo1:1
Head to head
- 27.04.2026RB Bragantino — Palmeiras0:1
- 16.10.2025Palmeiras — RB Bragantino5:1
- 19.05.2025RB Bragantino — Palmeiras1:2
- 05.10.2024RB Bragantino — Palmeiras0:0
- 21.06.2024Palmeiras — RB Bragantino2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Copa Libertadores | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | +33 | 64 |
| 2, Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | +30 | 63 |
| 3, Copa Libertadores | Athletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | +14 | 53 |
| 8, Copa Sudamericana | Santos | 30 | 11 | +1 | 42 |
| 9, Copa Sudamericana | RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | +3 | 40 |
| 10, Copa Sudamericana | São Paulo | 30 | 11 | 0 | 39 |
Brasileirao on the same day
- Vasco da GamaCorinthianspreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- ChapecoenseFluminensepreliminary2126532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- SantosBahiapreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →