UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Panathinaikos — Borac Banja Luka
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 77% against 8% for the opponent, draw 15%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Panathinaikos are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Panathinaikos — Borac Banja Luka What is xG? | 2.6–0.8 | |
| Panathinaikos not to lose | 92% | |
| Borac Banja Luka not to lose | 23% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos goals
- Borac Banja Luka goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Olympiacos0:1
- 20.09away · Kalamata1:0
- 13.09Panetolikos3:0
- 10.09Kifisia FC3:1
- 06.09PAOK Thessaloniki3:1
- 13.03away · Rapid Wien1:2
- 06.03Rapid Wien1:1
- 20.02away · Olimpija Ljubljana0:0
- 13.02Olimpija Ljubljana1:0
- 19.12Omonia Nicosia0:0
Head to head
- 03.10.2024Borac Banja Luka — Panathinaikos1:1
Conference League on the same day
- 5324231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 1319682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.1
- 3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →