Super League Greece, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Panetolikos — Olympiacos

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 18 October

Panetolikos9%
Draw24%
Olympiacos67%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Olympiacos are clear favourites: 67% against 9% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 36%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Olympiacos are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Panetolikos — Olympiacos What is xG?0.5–1.8
Panetolikos not to lose33%
Olympiacos not to lose91%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes36%
Both teams to score: no64%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Panetolikos
  • Panetolikos goals
  • Olympiacos goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Panetolikos

  • 11.10away · Kifisia FC0:2
  • 20.09PAOK Thessaloniki1:3
  • 13.09away · Panathinaikos0:3
  • 06.09away · Levadiakos2:0
  • 29.08Kalamata2:0

Olympiacos

  • 11.10Panathinaikos1:0
  • 20.09away · Levadiakos1:0
  • 16.09Jagiellonia Białystok2:1
  • 12.09OFI Crete0:1
  • 05.09away · NFC Volos1:1

Head to head

  • 21.02.2026Olympiacos — Panetolikos2:0
  • 30.11.2025Panetolikos — Olympiacos0:1
  • 06.01.2025Panetolikos — Olympiacos0:2
  • 15.09.2024Olympiacos — Panetolikos0:0
  • 28.02.2024Panetolikos — Olympiacos1:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2AEK Athens642016–3+1314
3Olympiacos64115–2+313
4PAOK Thessaloniki640213–8+512
7Iraklis62316–609
8Panetolikos63038–9-19
9Kifisia FC62226–7-18

Season 2026/27

Full table

Greek Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →