Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Peña Sport — SD Huesca

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Model prediction for 28 October

Peña Sport20%
Draw24%
SD Huesca56%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

SD Huesca are clear favourites: 56% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings SD Huesca are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Peña Sport — SD Huesca What is xG?1.0–1.9
Peña Sport not to lose44%
SD Huesca not to lose80%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Peña Sport
  • Peña Sport goals
  • SD Huesca goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Peña Sport

  • 02.12Málaga0:3
  • 17.12Fuenlabrada0:1

SD Huesca

  • 31.05away · Córdoba1:1
  • 24.05Castellón0:1
  • 18.05away · Leganés0:0
  • 11.05Real Sociedad B1:2
  • 03.05away · Racing Santander2:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
  • Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • UteboSabadellpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
  • AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →