Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Poblense — AD Ceuta FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
AD Ceuta FC are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AD Ceuta FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Poblense — AD Ceuta FC What is xG? | 1.0–2.0 | |
| Poblense not to lose | 39% | |
| AD Ceuta FC not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Poblense
- Poblense goals
- AD Ceuta FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10Sabadell1:2
- 04.10away · Castellón1:1
- 26.09Real Sociedad B3:1
- 20.09Real Valladolid1:1
- 11.09away · Burgos CF1:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Anaitasuna FTDeportivo Alavéspreliminary511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Peña SportSD Huescapreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- CD BadajozTenerifepreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →