Belgian Cup, playoff · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

RAAL La Louvière — FC Liège

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Model prediction for 17 October

RAAL La Louvière66%
Draw20%
FC Liège14%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

RAAL La Louvière are clear favourites: 66% against 14% for the opponent, draw 20%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings RAAL La Louvière are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: RAAL La Louvière — FC Liège What is xG?2.1–0.9
RAAL La Louvière not to lose86%
FC Liège not to lose34%
No draw80%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.558%
Total under 2.542%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap RAAL La Louvière
  • RAAL La Louvière goals
  • FC Liège goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

RAAL La Louvière

  • 10.10Club Brugge1:4
  • 19.09away · OH Leuven0:2
  • 13.09Kortrijk3:0
  • 05.09away · St.Truiden0:4
  • 29.08KV Mechelen2:2

FC Liège

  • 28.10Sporting Charleroi0:1
  • 30.10away · Beerschot1:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Belgian Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →