Nigeria NPFL, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Ranchers Bees — Doma United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ranchers Bees are clear favourites: 66% against 13% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ranchers Bees are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ranchers Bees — Doma United What is xG? | 1.9–0.7 | |
| Ranchers Bees not to lose | 87% | |
| Doma United not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ranchers Bees
- Ranchers Bees goals
- Doma United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10Niger Tornadoes0:0
- 04.10away · Kwara United1:2
- 28.09Rivers United FC0:0
- 23.09away · Enugu Rangers0:1
- 19.09Bendel Insurance2:1
- 11.10away · Nasarawa United0:2
- 04.10Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Katsina United1:2
- 23.09Plateau United2:2
- 20.09away · Kano Pillars1:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barau | 8 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Doma United | 8 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Shooting Stars | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoespreliminary5926151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- BarauKwara Unitedpreliminary6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Bendel InsuranceRivers United FCpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Ikorodu CityShooting Starspreliminary7119101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Katsina UnitedPlateau Unitedpreliminary5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Kun KhalifatInter Lagospreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbapreliminary6223141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Warri Wolves FCKano Pillarspreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →