Danish Superliga, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, 15:00 MSK · Cepheus Park Randers

Randers FC — Viborg

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true

Randers FC33%

Draw29%

Viborg38%

Model estimate at 14:41 MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Viborg to win (38%), came true.

Evenly matched: Randers FC 33%, Viborg 38%, draw 29%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

Last 5 meetings: Randers FC 4 wins, Viborg 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Randers FC — Viborg What is xG?		1.3–1.4
Randers FC not to lose		62%
Viborg not to lose		67%
No draw		71%
Both teams to score: yes		58%
Both teams to score: no		42%
Total over 2.5		51%
Total under 2.5		49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Randers FC
Randers FC goals
Viborg goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Randers FC

20.09away · Sønderjyske2:4
13.09OB1:2
06.09away · Brøndby IF3:0
30.08AGF2:1
23.08away · FC Midtjylland0:1

Viborg

20.09Nordsjælland4:1
13.09away · Silkeborg1:1
04.09Lyngby0:2
28.08away · AC Horsens3:2
23.08FC København4:0

Head to head

02.11.2025Viborg — Randers FC3:2
05.10.2025Randers FC — Viborg2:1
01.12.2024Viborg — Randers FC1:2
28.07.2024Randers FC — Viborg3:1
15.05.2024Randers FC — Viborg1:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2, Championship round	FC Midtjylland	10	6	4	0	19–10	+9	22
3, Championship round	Viborg	10	6	2	2	17–8	+9	20
4, Championship round	Nordsjælland	10	5	3	2	14–10	+4	18
7, Relegation round	Silkeborg	10	2	5	3	15–15	0	11
8, Relegation round	Randers FC	10	3	1	6	11–16	-5	10
9, Relegation round	OB	10	2	4	4	8–14	-6	10

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

20:00
AC HorsensRanders FC16 October · Danish Superliga
373033
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.1
20:00
ViborgFC Midtjylland19 October · Danish Superliga
352937
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:23.1

Danish Superliga on the same day

15:00
SilkeborgAC Horsens
422929
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 3:3. Model's score: 1:0.2.7
17:00
Brøndby IFLyngby
562618
1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 5:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
19:00
FC MidtjyllandFC København
332938
2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.3.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →