Danish Superliga, round 11 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Viborg — FC Midtjylland
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Evenly matched: Viborg 36%, FC Midtjylland 35%, draw 29%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Viborg — FC Midtjylland What is xG? | 1.5–1.5 | |
| Viborg not to lose | 65% | |
| FC Midtjylland not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Viborg
- Viborg goals
- FC Midtjylland goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Randers FC2:0
- 20.09Nordsjælland4:1
- 13.09away · Silkeborg1:1
- 04.09Lyngby0:2
- 28.08away · AC Horsens3:2
- 11.10FC København2:1
- 19.09away · OB1:1
- 14.09Brøndby IF4:1
- 07.09Nordsjælland2:2
- 02.09away · AGF2:0
Head to head
- 04.05.2026FC Midtjylland — Viborg3:3
- 22.03.2026Viborg — FC Midtjylland1:1
- 07.12.2025Viborg — FC Midtjylland3:3
- 20.09.2025FC Midtjylland — Viborg2:0
- 10.11.2024Viborg — FC Midtjylland1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC København | 10 | 8 | +14 | 24 |
| 2, Championship round | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 3, Championship round | Viborg | 10 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 4, Championship round | Nordsjælland | 10 | 5 | +4 | 18 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →